Eliminator Challenge is one of the simplest and most entertaining games during the NFL season. Pick one team to win each week. If that team wins, you advance to the next week. Lose once, and you're out. The only caveat is you cannot pick the same team twice.
While it sounds simple, getting a perfect season is always more difficult than it looks. The key is to find a good balance of picking winners while also keeping quality options open for future weeks.
Last week was another difficult week in Eliminator Challenge, led by the Pittsburgh Steelers pulling off the largest upset so far this season, upsetting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as 9.5-point underdogs. Teams favored by at least four points were just 3-3 last week and are now 29-17-1 this season. That is tracking to be the worst winning percentage by four-point favorites in a season since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
According to FPI, three teams have an 81% chance to win this week: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots. However, only one of those teams is being picked by less than 10% of entrants so far this week, and they are my top choice this week.
