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ESPN Analytics- Seth Walder is an analytics writer at ESPN, specializing in quantitative analysis. He is also a regular on "ESPN Bet Live" and helps cover sports betting. Seth has been at ESPN since 2017. He previously worked at the New York Daily News covering the Jets and Giants. You can follow Seth on X via @SethWalder.
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ESPN Insider- ESPN Insider college basketball contributor
- First began covering college hoops in 2004
- Has written for Basketball Prospectus and the Wall Street Journal
Giant Killers is back for our 16th annual metrics-based forecast of big upsets in the 2022 men's NCAA tournament. As always, we're analyzing each Giant vs. Killer game in the first round.
(Quick reminder: A Giant Killer is any team that defeats an opponent seeded at least five lines higher in any round.)
Our statistical model yields an upset probability for each game based on both the BPI of each team and on the stylistic factors that have shown the strongest correlations to tournament upsets in the past. Picks are sorted into four categories based on the likelihood of an upset: best bets, worth a long look, not completely ridiculous and, last and in all probability least, stay away.
Hopefully the titles speak for themselves.
Sound good? Now, let's get to the good stuff. Here are the 2022 upsets in the making.
