Doug Greenberg covers sport betting for ESPN. He previously covered sports betting, sports business and fantasy sports at Front Office Sports, VSiN and RotoWire. He lives in Chicago after growing up in Boston.
Alex Smalley, the solo leader at the 2026 PGA Championship through three rounds, will look to cap off an incredible underdog story Sunday. Smalley entered the fray as a 170-1 long shot to win his first professional tournament, showed +1550 after holding a co-lead through two rounds, and exits the third round with +485 odds.
However, given his low pre-tournament power rating, a two-shot lead isn't enough to make him the favorite, and bookmakers apparently still see it as anyone's tournament. Jon Rahm is the favorite at +465, then Ludvig Åberg (+600) and Rory McIlroy (+760) trail Smalley as the only other golfers shorter than 12-1.
It took a truly poor third round to knock Scottie Scheffler out of the favorite conversation and, now five shots back of the lead, he shows +1650 to capture his second consecutive PGA Championship. Cameron Young, a pre-tournament favorite for bookmakers and bettors alike, has fallen to 105-1 after entering the competition at +1475.
and subject to change.