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| The Packers are coming off a bad loss, and a matchup with the Eagles isn't likely to cure their woes. |
Week 10�gets underway with the�Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Denver Broncos on "Thursday Night Football."
Jonathan Taylor�and the Indianapolis Colts�face the Atlanta Falcons in Berlin to get Sunday's slate off to an early start (9:30 a.m. ET on NFL Network). The afternoon games feature matchups between the New England Patriots and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers and the Detroit Lions and Washington Commanders. The�Los Angeles Chargers�host the Pittsburgh Steelers at night to wrap up Sunday's action.
The week finishes with the Philadelphia Eagles facing off against the Green Bay Packers on "Monday Night Football" (8:15 ET on ABC/ESPN) from Lambeau Field.
So which games offer early appeal?
Matt Bowen, Eric Karabell, Pamela Maldonado, Eric Moody and Seth Walder looked at the early Week 10 odds and identified which ones are worth jumping on now before potential shifts later in the week.
Note: Odds at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET Sportsbook.
Cleveland Browns�to cover +2.5 (-110) at New York JetsBowen:�I'll take the Browns and the points because of Jim Schwartz's defense. Pressure the quarterback and play press coverage. Cleveland will keep the score low and take the ball away to create field position here.
Last week:�Colts -3.5 at Steelers (Steelers 27-10)
�Philadelphia Eagles to cover +2.5 (-105) at Green Bay PackersKarabell:�Many will view the Packers losing at home to the lowly Carolina Panthers -- a team that now has the same number of wins -- as aberrant. They should. That loss shouldn't happen, and the Packers will probably play better against the defending Super Bowl champs. That doesn't change the fact that the Eagles have a much better offense, led by a consistent, mistake-free QB, explosive RB, dominant WRs and TD-scoring TE. The Packers have a reckless QB and lack WRs, and they just lost their starting tight end for the season. The Eagles will win this game outright.
�Los Angeles Rams-San Francisco 49ers total points UNDER 50.5 (-115)Maldonado:�The Rams are playing clean, efficient football with a steady defense. San Francisco is leaning on a heavy dose of Christian McCaffrey, which means shorter throws and fewer big shots. That means clock management, patience and drives that take time. The Rams will move it, but they do it with rhythm. This matchup is more controlled and under-friendly.
Last week:�Cowboys -2.5 vs. Cardinals (Play Monday)
�New York Giants-Chicago Bears total points OVER 48.5 (-110)Moody:�Both defenses rank near the bottom of the league in yards and points allowed, setting up a shootout between Jaxson Dart and Caleb Williams. The over has hit in four of the Giants' past five and six of the Bears' past nine. Chicago just scored 47 points against the Cincinnati Bengals, while New York has allowed 30-plus in four straight. Expect another high-scoring, back-and-forth matchup.
�Patrick Mahomes�to win MVP (+425)Walder:�Mahomes, Sam Darnold (18-1) and Dak Prescott (60-1) might somehow all be values at the moment because of a big overreaction the Buffalo Bills' win over the Chiefs on Sunday that pushed Josh Allen ahead as the MVP favorite at +175. Yes, the Bills are now the favorite to be the AFC No. 1 seed, but the odds make it seem as if the first eight weeks of the season -- when Allen was certainly not playing at his best -- didn't happen. Allen ranks 11th(!) in QBR this season. And although our expectation for him going forward is certainly as a top-three quarterback, it would be an upset for him to surpass Mahomes in the efficiency metrics. The best bet here, in my view, would be a "no" bet on Allen to win MVP. But since that's not an option, backing Mahomes at what I view as a temporary boost to his odds is the next-best choice.
Last week:�Jaxson Dart to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (-105)
