All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Jarren Duran | OVER 0.5 HR (+720)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.28 EV
Juan Soto | UNDER 0.5 H (+200)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.84 EV
Vinnie Pasquantino | OVER 0.5 HR (+1080)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.19 EV
Will Smith | OVER 0.5 HR (+483)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.78 EV
Max Muncy | UNDER 0.5 H (+127)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.91 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Sandy Alcantara | OVER 2.5 ER (-109)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.00 EV
Max Scherzer | UNDER 4.5 K (-165)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.14 EV
Max Scherzer | OVER 2.5 ER (+119)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.82 EV
Michael Lorenzen | OVER 2.5 ER (-104)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.44 EV
Will Warren | UNDER 2.5 ER (-144)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.16 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs are in the middle of a nine-game winning streak. (+9.40 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: +135
New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet for six straight games. (+7.30 Units / 105% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -122
Los Angeles Angels 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Angels have hit the over for this bet in seven consecutive road games. (+7.65 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -140
Toronto Blue Jays 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Toronto has gone under this team total in 16 of their last 20 games. (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +100
Texas Rangers Game Total UNDER:
The Rangers have gone under their game total in 12 of their last 15 home games, with one push. (+9.90 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -118
