All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Vinnie Pasquantino | OVER 0.5 HR (+565)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.66 EV
Pete Alonso | OVER 0.5 HR (+529)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.18 EV
Miguel Vargas | OVER 0.5 RBI (+210)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.68 EV
CJ Abrams | OVER 0.5 RBI (+225)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.54 EV
Marcelo Mayer | UNDER 0.5 H (+182)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.40 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 6.5 K (+119)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.95 EV
MacKenzie Gore | UNDER 5.5 K (+121)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.16 EV
Zack Wheeler | OVER 6.5 K (+113)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.34 EV
Cole Ragans | UNDER 6.5 K (+116)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.10 EV
German Marquez | OVER 3.5 K (-161)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.79 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.
Athletics 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Athletics have won this bet in seven consecutive games. (+7.90 Units / 103% ROI). Current odds: -120
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs are in the middle of an eight-game home winning streak. (+8.00 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: -143
New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have hit the under for this bet in six straight road contests. (+6.35 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -110
Texas Rangers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Texas has gone under this bet in six consecutive games. (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +124
Baltimore Orioles Game Total OVER:
Baltimore has seen the game total go over in nine of their last 10 contests. (+7.90 Units / 70% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -118
