All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Will Smith | OVER 0.5 HR (+620)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $47.10 EV
Spencer Jones | OVER 0.5 HR (+640)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.62 EV
Will Smith | OVER 0.5 RBI (+210)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.40 EV
Will Smith | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+101)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.57 EV
Michael Massey | UNDER 0.5 H (+132)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.70 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Davis Martin | UNDER 4.5 K (+113)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.95 EV
Carlos Rodon | OVER 4.5 K (-132)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.98 EV
Payton Tolle | UNDER 5.5 K (-135)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.26 EV
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+103)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.09 EV
Bryce Elder | UNDER 4.5 K (+109)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.89 EV
The BAT X: Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
Texas Rangers Game Total Under:
Rangers home games have gone under in seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -112
New York Yankees Team Total Under:
The Yankees' team total has gone under in six straight away games. (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total Under:
The Dodgers have gone under in their last five straight home games. (+5.05 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -130
