All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+494)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.84 EV
George Springer | OVER 0.5 HR (+487)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.51 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 0.5 RBI (+214)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.63 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+114)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.96 EV
Max Muncy | UNDER 0.5 H (+129)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.09 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Robert Gasser | OVER 3.5 K (+104)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $35.88 EV
Grayson Rodriguez | OVER 5.5 K (+110)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.47 EV
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (-130)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.02 EV
Stephen Kolek | UNDER 4.5 K (-156)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.92 EV
Brandon Young | UNDER 2.5 ER (+109)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.83 EV
The BAT X: Team projections
Top Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves Game Total UNDER:
The last eight home games for the Braves have gone under. (8-0) (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -104
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total UNDER:
The Blue Jays have gone under in their last six away games. (6-0) (+6.15 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +114
Chicago White Sox Team Total OVER:
The last five home games for the White Sox have gone over. (5-0) (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130
