All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.02 EV
Nick Kurtz | OVER 0.5 HR (+268)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.21 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 0.5 RBI (+178)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.70 EV
Kevin McGonigle | OVER 0.5 RBI (+212)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.63 EV
Esmerlyn Valdez | UNDER 0.5 H (+130)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.83 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (-112)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.23 EV
Luis Severino | OVER 2.5 ER (-108)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.05 EV
Kyle Harrison | OVER 6.5 K (+114)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.70 EV
Emerson Hancock | UNDER 4.5 K (+107)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.70 EV
Jack Leiter | UNDER 2.5 ER (-120)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.89 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Detroit Tigers Team Total UNDER:
The Tigers have gone under their total in nine straight home games. (+9.25 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135
Chicago White Sox Game Total OVER:
Games at Rate Field have gone over this total in six consecutive games. (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -118
Washington Nationals Run Line:
Washington has won this bet in six straight games. (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -138
New York Mets Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under their total in five consecutive games. (+5.15 Units / 101% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -130
