All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Spencer Horwitz | OVER 0.5 HR (+890)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.63 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.44 EV
Tyler O'Neill | OVER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-160)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.88 EV
Randal Grichuk | UNDER 0.5 H (+120)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.47 EV
Sandy Leon | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-133)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.27 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Nathan Eovaldi | UNDER 6.5 K (-156)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.62 EV
Chris Bassitt | OVER 2.5 ER (+112)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.26 EV
Grayson Rodriguez | UNDER 5.5 K (-153)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.87 EV
Paul Skenes | UNDER 6.5 K (-110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.33 EV
Kendry Rojas | OVER 2.5 K (-173)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.45 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Houston Astros 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Astros have gone over the first five innings team total in six straight away games. (+6.25 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +105
Chicago White Sox Game Total OVER:
Twelve of the White Sox's last 15 games have gone over the total. (+9.95 Units / 61% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -104
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline:
A moneyline bet on the Orioles has hit in eight of their last 10 games. (+6.50 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: -131
Boston Red Sox Team Total UNDER:
The Red Sox have gone under their team total in 14 of their last 20 games. (14-6) (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +120
Detroit Tigers Game Total UNDER:
Tigers home games have gone under the total in eight of the last 10. (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -106
