All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Ryan Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+760)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.79 EV
Paul Goldschmidt | OVER 0.5 HR (+670)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.27 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+136)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.89 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 1.5 TB (+198)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.09 EV
Nick Madrigal | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+135)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.27 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (-104)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.85 EV
Javier Assad | UNDER 3.5 K (-154)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.69 EV
Shane McClanahan | UNDER 5.5 K (+122)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.29 EV
Tatsuya Imai | OVER 2.5 ER (-110)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.87 EV
Anthony Kay | UNDER 3.5 K (+132)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.49 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total OVER:
Games at PNC Park have hit the over in nine consecutive contests. (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -105
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox seek to extend a seven-game home winning streak. (+7.55 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: +123
Miami Marlins Run Line:
The Marlins have won this bet in five straight games. (+6.15 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -125
Philadelphia Phillies Game Total UNDER:
Games involving Philadelphia have gone under this total in 12 of the team's last 15 road contests. (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -102
