All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Mookie Betts | OVER 0.5 HR (+770)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.40 EV
Ben Rice | OVER 0.5 HR (+451)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.57 EV
Alex Bregman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+328)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.15 EV
Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 RBI (+309)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.95 EV
Daulton Varsho | UNDER 0.5 H (+183)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.66 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Luis Castillo | UNDER 4.5 K (-113)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.06 EV
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (-108)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.94 EV
Taj Bradley | OVER 6.5 K (-107)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.47 EV
J.T. Ginn | UNDER 2.5 ER (-157)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.42 EV
Michael McGreevy | UNDER 4.5 K (-146)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.27 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Seattle Mariners Team Total UNDER:
The Mariners have gone under this total in 11 straight games. (+11.30 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -110
San Diego Padres Run Line:
The Padres have won this bet in five consecutive games. (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -111
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total UNDER:
The Cardinals have gone under this total in six straight home contests. (+6.25 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +110
Minnesota Twins Run Line:
Minnesota has won this bet eight times in the team's last 10 games. (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -122
