All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Paul Goldschmidt | OVER 0.5 HR (+680)
Projection: 19% chance of this bet hitting, with a $45.00 EV
Curtis Mead | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.03 EV
Marcell Ozuna | OVER 0.5 RBI (+260)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.72 EV
Munetaka Murakami | UNDER 0.5 H (+142)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.57 EV
Jacob Wilson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+119)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.75 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Javier Assad | UNDER 3.5 K (+116)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.83 EV
Reynaldo Lopez | UNDER 3.5 K (-102)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.21 EV
Eury Perez | UNDER 6.5 K (-124)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.40 EV
Kyle Freeland | UNDER 2.5 ER (+119)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.74 EV
Gage Jump | UNDER 2.5 ER (-136)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.26 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Detroit Tigers Run Line:
The Tigers have covered the run line in six straight games. (+8.35 Units / 137% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -121
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Moneyline bets on the Red Sox have hit in seven straight road games. (+7.20 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: +123
Chicago Cubs Run Line:
The Cubs are 13-6-1 on the run line over their last 20 games. (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -101
New York Yankees Team Total Under:
The Yankees have gone under their team total in 14 of their last 20 games. (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -135
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total Under:
The Dodgers have gone under their team total in eight of their last 10 home games. (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -130
