All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Kody Clemens | OVER 0.5 HR (+337)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.81 EV
Shea Langeliers | OVER 0.5 HR (+343)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.43 EV
Rafael Devers | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+123)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.17 EV
Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+198)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.18 EV
Jacob Wilson | UNDER 1.5 TB (-113)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.60 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Cade Cavalli | UNDER 4.5 K (+115)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $41.08 EV
Michael McGreevy | UNDER 3.5 K (-125)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $40.20 EV
Griffin Jax | UNDER 4.5 K (+112)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.40 EV
Gage Jump | UNDER 2.5 ER (-106)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.99 EV
Colin Rea | OVER 2.5 ER (-115)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.77 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
New York Yankees Team Total UNDER:
The Yankees have gone under this total in 10 straight home games. (+10.15 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -125
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is looking to extend their nine-game winning streak. (+9.40 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: -126
Texas Rangers Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Rangers have gone over this total seven consecutive times. (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -114
San Francisco Giants Team Total UNDER:
The Giants have gone under this total 15 times in their last 20 contests. (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +120
