All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Christian Yelich | OVER 0.5 HR (+790)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.28 EV
Garrett Mitchell | OVER 0.5 HR (+780)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.25 EV
Lars Nootbaar | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+128)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.88 EV
Zach Neto | OVER 0.5 RBI (+232)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.08 EV
Tommy Edman | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+111)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.96 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Robbie Ray | OVER 2.5 ER (+130)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.26 EV
Roki Sasaki | UNDER 4.5 K (+117)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.37 EV
Shane Drohan | UNDER 5.5 K (-119)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.09 EV
Nathan Eovaldi | UNDER 2.5 ER (-160)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.36 EV
Zac Thornton | UNDER 4.5 K (-129)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.06 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Run Line:
The Braves have won this bet in six consecutive games. (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -117
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is looking to extend their eight-game winning streak. (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: -261
St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
St. Louis has won this bet in seven straight home games. (+7.25 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -115
Minnesota Twins 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Twins have won this bet in five consecutive road contests. (+5.40 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -110
