All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Josh Bell | OVER 0.5 HR (+438)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.02 EV
Zack Gelof | OVER 0.5 HR (+492)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.16 EV
Ezequiel Tovar | OVER 0.5 RBI (+332)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.06 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 0.5 RBI (+224)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.35 EV
Steven Kwan | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+107)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.89 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Framber Valdez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-107)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.16 EV
Jeffrey Springs | OVER 3.5 K (+100)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.06 EV
Chase Burns | UNDER 6.5 K (-106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.14 EV
Kevin Gausman | UNDER 5.5 K (-162)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.35 EV
Zebby Matthews | UNDER 4.5 K (-124)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.12 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
San Diego Padres Run Line:
The Padres have won this bet in seven straight home games. (+8.85 Units / 99% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -152
Texas Rangers Team Total UNDER:
Texas has gone under this total in six consecutive road contests. (+6.20 Units / 95% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +110
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline:
The Phillies are seeking to extend their current nine-game win streak. (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI). Current odds: -120
Washington Nationals 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
Washington has won this bet six straight times at Nationals Park. (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -105
