All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Francisco Alvarez | OVER 0.5 HR (+740)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.68 EV
Bobby Witt Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+463)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.46 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 0.5 RBI (+203)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.69 EV
Kyle Stowers | UNDER 0.5 H (+155)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.28 EV
Steven Kwan | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-112)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.79 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Jackson Jobe | OVER 3.5 K (+122)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.19 EV
Aaron Nola | UNDER 5.5 K (+114)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.10 EV
Tyler Glasnow | OVER 1.5 ER (-135)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.71 EV
Clay Holmes | UNDER 3.5 K (-135)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.95 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 6.5 K (+101)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.70 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet in six straight contests. (+8.25 Units / 119% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -105
Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER:
Baltimore has gone over this total in eight consecutive road games. (+8.20 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Giants have gone over this total in five straight games. (+5.50 Units / 107% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160
Kansas City Royals Moneyline:
Kansas City is seeking to extend its current eight-game win streak. (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI). Current odds: +109
