All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Alex Bregman | OVER 0.5 HR (+750)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $1.07 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 HR (+590)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.36 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 RBI (+252)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 RBI (+204)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.71 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.28 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Griffin Jax | UNDER 4.5 K (+110)
Projection: 77% chance of this bet hitting, with a $61.30 EV
Jacob Lopez | UNDER 5.5 K (-107)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.69 EV
Dylan Cease | UNDER 6.5 K (-110)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.27 EV
David Peterson | UNDER 2.5 ER (-130)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.16 EV
Brandon Williamson | OVER 3.5 K (+109)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.14 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline:
The Phillies are seeking to extend their six-game winning streak, all on the road. (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: -110
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has been under this total for seven straight games at Chase Field. (+7.70 Units / 101% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -145
Colorado Rockies Team Total UNDER:
The Rockies have been under this total for six consecutive games at Coors Field. (+6.15 Units / 96% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +100
Chicago Cubs Game Total OVER:
Games at Wrigley Field have gone over this total in five straight contests. (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -103
