All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Carlos Cortes | OVER 0.5 HR (+960)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.39 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+980)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.22 EV
Trea Turner | OVER 0.5 RBI (+249)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.47 EV
Bryce Harper | OVER 0.5 RBI (+188)
Projection: 40% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.86 EV
Cal Raleigh | UNDER 0.5 H (+124)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.83 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Walbert Urena | UNDER 4.5 K (+120)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.25 EV
Kyle Leahy | OVER 2.5 K (-143)
Projection: 74% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.40 EV
Clay Holmes | UNDER 4.5 K (+113)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.53 EV
Gage Jump | UNDER 2.5 ER (-154)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.83 EV
Bryan Woo | OVER 6.5 K (-116)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.67 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Athletics Athletics Game Total Over:
Athletics' games have gone over the total in seven straight games away from Sacramento. (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -104
Colorado Rockies Run Line:
The Rockies have covered their run line n seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -113
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline:
The Phillies have won 16 of their past 20 games. (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI). Current odds: -110
Chicago Cubs Run Line:
The Cubs have covered their run line in 13 of their past 20 games away from Wrigley Field. (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -119
