All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Joshua Baez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+242)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.97 EV
A.J. Ewing | OVER 0.5 RBI (+334)
Projection: 27% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.79 EV
Munetaka Murakami | UNDER 0.5 H (+122)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.79 EV
Tristan Peters | UNDER 0.5 H (+138)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.71 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Walbert Urena | UNDER 4.5 K (+101)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.97 EV
Randy Dobnak | UNDER 3.5 K (-150)
Projection: 73% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.38 EV
Kyle Leahy | OVER 3.5 K (-119)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.23 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+116)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.94 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
Chicago has gone over this total in eight straight home games. (+8.05 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +105
Kansas City Royals Game Total UNDER:
Kansas City has gone under this total in six straight games. (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -110
Miami Marlins Game Total OVER:
Miami has gone over this total in six straight home games. (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -102
New York Mets Game Total OVER:
The Mets have gone over this total in five straight road games. (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -11
