All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
CJ Abrams | OVER 0.5 HR (+830)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $66.84 EV
Keibert Ruiz | OVER 0.5 HR (+1340)
Projection: 10% chance of this bet hitting, with a $50.77 EV
Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 RBI (+268)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $41.35 EV
Adley Rutschman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+300)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.04 EV
Brett Callahan | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+129)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.31 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 4.5 K (+119)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.64 EV
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (-111)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.79 EV
Gavin Williams | UNDER 6.5 K (+104)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.99 EV
Eury Perez | OVER 4.5 K (-158)
Projection: 71% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.87 EV
Noah Cameron | UNDER 2.5 ER (-145)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.08 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Chicago White Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The White Sox have gone over this total in nine straight games. (+9.85 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -120
Boston Red Sox Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Red Sox have gone under this total seven straight times. (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 6.5 @ -115
Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line:
Arizona has won this bet in five consecutive contests. (+5.20 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -139
Atlanta Braves Team Total OVER:
Atlanta has gone over this total in five consecutive road games. (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
