All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+780)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.27 EV
Lane Thomas | OVER 0.5 RBI (+270)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.99 EV
Heliot Ramos | OVER 0.5 RBI (+245)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.51 EV
Matt Chapman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+311)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.92 EV
Chase DeLauter | UNDER 0.5 H (+170)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.51 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Robbie Ray | UNDER 5.5 K (-113)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.34 EV
Framber Valdez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.87 EV
Andrew Painter | UNDER 3.5 K (+132)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.36 EV
Simeon Woods Richardson | OVER 3.5 K (-102)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.45 EV
Reid Detmers | OVER 5.5 K (-105)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.57 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has hit the under on this total in 12 straight games. (+12.25 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -145
Minnesota Twins 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Twins have won this bet in nine of their last 10 games at home. (+8.30 Units / 69% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -130
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total UNDER:
The Dodgers have failed to reach this total in eight consecutive home games. (+8.15 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -110
Milwaukee Brewers Run Line:
Milwaukee has won this bet in five straight games at American Family Field. (+6.10 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -103
Washington Nationals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Nationals have won this bet in six consecutive road contests. (+6.05 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -110
