All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Dansby Swanson | OVER 0.5 HR (+710)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.76 EV
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+670)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.97 EV
Juan Soto | OVER 0.5 RBI (+230)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Matt Chapman | OVER 0.5 RBI (+193)
Projection: 41% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.25 EV
Heliot Ramos | OVER 0.5 RBI (+158)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.97 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (+107)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.99 EV
Randy Vasquez | UNDER 4.5 K (-117)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.23 EV
Merrill Kelly | OVER 4.5 K (+105)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.35 EV
Blake Snell | UNDER 1.5 ER (+100)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.08 EV
Aaron Civale | OVER 2.5 ER (-123)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.39 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has been under this total in 13 straight games.(+13.50 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +120
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline:
The Rays have won this bet in 10 consecutive games at Tropicana Field. (+10.00 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: -125
Houston Astros Team Total UNDER:
Houston has been under this total in seven straight home contests. (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +110
Boston Red Sox Team Total UNDER:
The Red Sox have been under this total in five consecutive games. (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -120
