All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Marcus Semien | OVER 0.5 HR (+1040)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.26 EV
Luke Raley | OVER 0.5 HR (+700)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.56 EV
Rhys Hoskins | OVER 0.5 RBI (+286)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.72 EV
Kevin Alcantara | UNDER 0.5 H (+110)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.76 EV
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-112)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.95 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Kyle Harrison | OVER 6.5 K (+116)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.51 EV
Aaron Nola | OVER 5.5 K (+124)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.02 EV
Jack Flaherty | UNDER 5.5 K (-128)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.90 EV
Steven Matz | OVER 4.5 K (+113)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.04 EV
Connor Prielipp | UNDER 2.5 ER (-147)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.75 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
New York Mets Run Line:
Bets on the Mets run line have hit in five straight games. (+6.40 Units / 98% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -126
Cleveland Guardians Team Total Under:
The Guardians' team total has gone under in six straight games. (+6.10 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +100
Seattle Mariners Moneyline:
Bets on the Mariners moneyline have hit in seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: -143
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total Over:
The game total has gone over the number in six straight Pirates games. (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -109
Boston Red Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Red Sox's first five innings total has hit in eight of their last 10 games. (+6.05 Units / 48% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +114
