All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+505)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.35 EV
Jake Cronenworth | OVER 0.5 HR (+710)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.44 EV
Nico Hoerner | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+116)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.41 EV
Lawrence Butler | OVER 0.5 RBI (+218)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.22 EV
Tyler Tolbert | UNDER 0.5 H (+124)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.07 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Troy Melton | UNDER 4.5 K (+102)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.25 EV
Payton Tolle | UNDER 2.5 ER (-112)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.51 EV
J.T. Ginn | UNDER 4.5 K (-134)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.90 EV
Zac Gallen | UNDER 2.5 ER (+118)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.49 EV
Freddy Peralta | UNDER 4.5 K (+106)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.22 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Tampa Bay Rays Run Line:
The Rays have won this bet in six straight games. (+8.45 Units / 141% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -114
San Francisco Giants Team Total UNDER:
The Giants have gone under this total in five straight road games. (+5.10 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -110
Texas Rangers Moneyline:
Texas has won six consecutive road games. (+7.30 Units / 114% ROI). Current odds: -107
Atlanta Braves Game Total UNDER:
The last five games involving the Braves have gone under this total. (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -118
Pittsburgh Pirates 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Pirates have gone under this total in four of their last five road contests. (+2.55 Units / 37% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -110
