All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Rafael Devers | OVER 0.5 HR (+750)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.16 EV
Alec Burleson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+242)
Projection: 36% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.80 EV
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 0.5 RBI (+327)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.21 EV
Nicky Lopez | UNDER 0.5 H (+124)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.19 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-138)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | OVER 1.5 ER (+121)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.39 EV
Tatsuya Imai | OVER 2.5 ER (-108)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.00 EV
J.T. Ginn | UNDER 5.5 K (-144)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.92 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+125)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.10 EV
Tarik Skubal | UNDER 8.5 K (-129)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.65 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total UNDER:
The Cardinals have gone under this total in 10 straight home contests. (+10.30 Units / 90% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +114
Miami Marlins Run Line:
The Marlins have won this bet in 13 of their last 15 home games. (+13.15 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +125
Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER:
When Arizona has played on the road, this total has been under in 13 of the last 15 games. (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -103
Atlanta Braves Team Total OVER:
The Braves have gone over this total in six consecutive games. (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +100
