All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 HR (+650)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.05 EV
Trent Grisham | OVER 0.5 RBI (+308)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.27 EV
Zack Gelof | OVER 0.5 RBI (+235)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.91 EV
Randal Grichuk | UNDER 0.5 H (+162)
Projection: 44% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.07 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-118)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.92 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Roki Sasaki | OVER 5.5 K (+104)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.93 EV
Spencer Arrighetti | UNDER 4.5 K (+111)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.86 EV
Colin Rea | UNDER 4.5 K (-131)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.94 EV
Jeffrey Springs | OVER 4.5 K (-112)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.04 EV
Slade Cecconi | UNDER 4.5 K (-162)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.41 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Atlanta Braves Team Total OVER
The Braves have gone over this total in seven straight games. (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER
Games involving the D-backs on the road have gone under this total in five consecutive contests. (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -112
Colorado Rockies Run Line
Colorado has won this bet in five straight road games. (+5.40 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +101
Boston Red Sox Team Total OVER
Boston's team total has hit the over in five consecutive road games. (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -125
