All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Luis Robert Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+650)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.45 EV
Mookie Betts | OVER 0.5 HR (+650)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.70 EV
TJ Rumfield | OVER 0.5 RBI (+333)
Projection: 28% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.02 EV
Kyle Manzardo | OVER 0.5 RBI (+278)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.22 EV
Harry Ford | UNDER 0.5 H (+119)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.95 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Connor Prielipp | UNDER 4.5 K (-147)
Projection: 81% chance of this bet hitting, with a $52.67 EV
Braxton Ashcraft | UNDER 5.5 K (+111)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.86 EV
Will Warren | UNDER 4.5 K (-137)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.46 EV
Luinder Avila | UNDER 4.5 K (-160)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.55 EV
Kohl Drake | UNDER 2.5 ER (-110)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.38 EV
The BAT X: Team Projections
Top Betting Trends
Kansas City Royals Team Total UNDER:
The Royals have gone under the total in eight straight away games. (8-0) (+8.25 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ +105
Minnesota Twins Game Total UNDER:
Six straight Twins home games have gone under the total. (6-0) (+6.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 10 @ -112
Houston Astros Run Line:
The Astros have won this bet in five straight games. (5-0) (+6.30 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +119
