All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+680)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.54 EV
Dominic Smith | OVER 0.5 HR (+830)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.83 EV
Bryce Eldridge | OVER 0.5 RBI (+231)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.13 EV
Logan O'Hoppe | OVER 0.5 RBI (+289)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.94 EV
Jahmai Jones | UNDER 0.5 H (+162)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.21 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Slade Cecconi | UNDER 4.5 K (+102)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.98 EV
Peter Lambert | UNDER 5.5 K (-122)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.20 EV
Christian Scott | UNDER 5.5 K (-146)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.78 EV
Brandon Pfaadt | OVER 2.5 ER (-114)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.03 EV
Shane Bieber | UNDER 4.5 K (-155)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.53 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is looking to extend its 10-game road win streak. (+10.40 Units / 80% ROI). Current odds: -155
Kansas City Royals Run Line:
The Royals have won this bet in six consecutive games. (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -109
Los Angeles Dodgers Team Total UNDER:
The Dodgers have gone under this total in five straight home games. (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 5.5 @ -135
Cleveland Guardians Game Total UNDER:
Road contests involving Cleveland have hit the under for this bet eight times in the last 10 occurrences. (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -108
