All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Francisco Lindor | OVER 0.5 HR (+488)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.54 EV
Bryson Stott | OVER 0.5 HR (+1240)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.90 EV
Shay Whitcomb | OVER 0.5 RBI (+280)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.55 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.77 EV
Munetaka Murakami | UNDER 0.5 H (+122)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.15 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Michael King | UNDER 5.5 K (+115)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.08 EV
Aaron Nola | UNDER 4.5 K (+107)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.71 EV
Gage Jump | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.27 EV
Bryce Elder | OVER 4.5 K (+115)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.65 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 1.5 ER (-124)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.64 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Arizona has gone under this total in five straight home games. (+5.55 Units / 102% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ +120
Detroit Tigers Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Tigers have gone under this total six consecutive times. (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -114
Atlanta Braves Moneyline:
Atlanta is looking to extend their seven-game winning streak. (+7.40 Units / 65% ROI). Current odds: -167
Los Angeles Angels Team Total UNDER:
The Angels have gone under this total in 12 of their last 15 games. (+9.30 Units / 54% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -115
