All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Bobby Witt Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+452)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.99 EV
Bryce Eldridge | OVER 0.5 RBI (+217)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.27 EV
Dylan Crews | OVER 0.5 RBI (+296)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.17 EV
Enrique Hernandez | UNDER 0.5 H (+130)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.11 EV
Blaze Alexander | UNDER 0.5 H (+192)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Logan Allen | OVER 3.5 K (+121)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.86 EV
Blake Snell | OVER 7.5 K (-102)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.12 EV
Logan Gilbert | OVER 6.5 K (-103)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.91 EV
Janson Junk | OVER 3.5 K (+115)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.57 EV
Jared Jones | UNDER 5.5 K (+115)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.27 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Colorado Rockies Game Total UNDER:
Games at Coors Field have gone under this total for seven consecutive games. (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 11.5 @ -112
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Cubs have gone over this total in seven consecutive contests. (+7.05 Units / 84% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total UNDER:
Tampa Bay has gone under this total seven straight times on the road.(+7.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline:
The Phillies are looking to extend their seven-game home winning streak. (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI). Current odds: -118
