All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Travis Bazzana | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.38 EV
Luke Keaschall | OVER 0.5 HR (+1060)
Projection: 9% chance of this bet hitting, with a $3.47 EV
Michael Busch | OVER 0.5 RBI (+276)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.65 EV
Henry Davis | OVER 0.5 RBI (+302)
Projection: 29% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.10 EV
Enrique Hernandez | UNDER 0.5 H (+117)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.72 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Corbin Burnes | UNDER 1.5 ER (+103)
Projection: 76% chance of this bet hitting, with a $54.65 EV
Casey Mize | OVER 4.5 K (+107)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.81 EV
David Peterson | UNDER 2.5 ER (-131)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.33 EV
Tarik Skubal | UNDER 8.5 K (-110)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.15 EV
Hayden Wesneski | UNDER 3.5 K (-105)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.27 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Houston Astros Run Line:
The Astros have won this bet in five straight games. (+6.40 Units / 97% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -124
Detroit Tigers 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
Detroit has gone over this total six consecutive times. (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +114
Boston Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is seeking to extend its current five-game winning streak. (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: -149
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline:
The Dodgers are looking to extend their five-game home winning streak. (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI). Current odds: -339
