All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
James Wood | OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-110)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $7.43 EV
Kody Clemens | OVER 0.5 RBI (+171)
Projection: 39% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.85 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
DJ Herz | OVER 3.5 K (-106)
Projection: 74% chance of this bet hitting, with a $45.55 EV
Shane Baz | OVER 3.5 K (-150)
Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.65 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The Giants have gone over this total in 13 of the team's last 15 home games. (+11.25 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -160
Detroit Tigers Run Line:
Detroit has won this bet four times in its last five home contests. (+4.30 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -109
Toronto Blue Jays Game Total OVER:
Games involving the Blue Jays have gone over this total eight times in the last 10 games. (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -115
