All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Aaron Judge | OVER 0.5 HR (+255)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.81 EV
Elly De La Cruz | OVER 0.5 RBI (+228)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.93 EV
Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+214)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.61 EV
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+820)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.14 EV
Sandy Leon | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+113)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.61 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Jacob Misiorowski | UNDER 8.5 K (-105)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.68 EV
Ranger Suarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-152)
Projection: 74% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.91 EV
Bryce Miller | UNDER 1.5 ER (+114)
Projection: 78% chance of this bet hitting, with a $66.92 EV
Matthew Liberatore | UNDER 4.5 K (-109)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.57 EV
Keider Montero | UNDER 3.5 K (-106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.41 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Philadelphia Phillies Game Total Under:
Eight straight Phillies games have finished under the game total line.
(+8.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9 @ -117
Houston Astros Team Total Over:
The Astros have finished under their team total line in seven straight games.
(7-0) (+7.35 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -140
Chicago White Sox Moneyline:
The White Sox have won 12 of their past 15 games at home.
(12-3) (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: -131
Cincinnati Reds Game Total Over:
Fourteen of the past 20 Reds games have finished over the game total line.
(14-6) (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -117
