All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+488)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.19 EV
Adley Rutschman | OVER 0.5 HR (+457)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.92 EV
Kyle Teel | OVER 0.5 RBI (+250)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.06 EV
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 RBI (+235)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.11 EV
Jacob Young | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-129)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.35 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Kyle Harrison | UNDER 5.5 K (-150)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.38 EV
Andre Pallante | UNDER 3.5 K (+116)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.60 EV
Anthony Kay | UNDER 4.5 K (+126)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.56 EV
David Peterson | UNDER 2.5 ER (-107)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.75 EV
Jose Cabrera | UNDER 3.5 K (+125)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.95 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs have won five straight games. (+5.75 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: -131
Los Angeles Angels 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Angels have led after five innings in 14 of their past 20 games at Angel Stadium. (14-4-2) (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI). Current odds: -125
Chicago White Sox Team Total Over:
The White Sox have scored more than their pregame line in 14 of the past 20 games away from Rate Field. (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -125
Baltimore Orioles 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Orioles have led after five innings in four of their past five games away from Baltimore. (4-1) (+4.45 Units / 71% ROI). Current odds: -130
