All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Alejandro Kirk | OVER 0.5 HR (+900)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.30 EV
William Contreras | OVER 0.5 HR (+548)
Projection: 18% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.50 EV
Marcus Semien | OVER 0.5 RBI (+307)
Projection: 30% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.48 EV
Starling Marte | OVER 0.5 RBI (+405)
Projection: 24% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.42 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-111)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.17 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 1.5 ER (+117)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.89 EV
Cam Schlittler | UNDER 7.5 K (-138)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.63 EV
Shane McClanahan | UNDER 1.5 ER (+104)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.04 EV
Joey Cantillo | UNDER 4.5 K (+121)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.85 EV
Jacob Lopez | OVER 2.5 ER (-118)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.91 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Los Angeles Angels Game Total Under:
Nine straight Angels games have gone under the total. (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -110
Texas Rangers Game Total Over:
Thirteen of the Rangers' last 15 games have gone over the total. (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -112
Boston Red Sox Team Total Over:
The Red Sox have gone over their team total in 12 of their last 15 games. (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
Miami Marlins Run Line:
The Marlins have covered the run line in 14 of their last 20 homes games. (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +103
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Total Over:
The Pirates have gone over their team total in 15 of their last 20 games. (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -145
