All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday's top batter prop bets
Ronald Acuna Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+416)
Projection: 23% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.71 EV
Daulton Varsho | OVER 0.5 HR (+481)
Projection: 20% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.85 EV
Nolan Schanuel | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.28 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-154)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.26 EV
Ezequiel Duran | OVER 0.5 RBI (+263)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.96 EV
Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 7.5 K (-102)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $33.56 EV
Randy Dobnak | UNDER 2.5 K (+118)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $24.02 EV
Jared Jones | UNDER 5.5 K (-141)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.93 EV
Shane Drohan | UNDER 5.5 K (-144)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.99 EV
Joey Cantillo | UNDER 6.5 K (-156)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.23 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Athletics 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER
The Athletics have gone under this total in nine straight games. (+9.20 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -120
Kansas City Royals Run Line
Kansas City has won this bet in seven consecutive contests. (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -102
New York Yankees Moneyline
The Yankees have won this bet in eight of their last 10 road games. (+6.45 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: -149
Miami Marlins Team Total UNDER
Miami has gone under this total in eight of its last 10 home games. (+6.15 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +120
