All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Friday's top batter prop bets
Brooks Lee | OVER 0.5 HR (+940)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.13 EV
Keibert Ruiz | OVER 0.5 HR (+890)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.80 EV
Bryan De La Cruz | OVER 1.5 TB (+219)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.63 EV
Nicky Lopez | UNDER 0.5 H+R+RBI (+141)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.28 EV
Anthony Seigler | UNDER 0.5 H (+148)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.74 EV
Friday's top pitcher prop bets
Shane Drohan | UNDER 5.5 K (+102)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.29 EV
Bryce Elder | OVER 2.5 ER (-111)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.66 EV
Bryce Miller | OVER 5.5 K (+115)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.04 EV
Hunter Greene | UNDER 7.5 K (-149)
Projection: 68% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.74 EV
Dylan Cease | UNDER 7.5 K (+102)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.80 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Run Line:
The Royals have won this bet in nine straight games. (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ +108
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total UNDER:
Toronto has gone under this total in seven straight home games. (+7.30 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145
New York Mets 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The Mets have gone under this total in nine of their last 10 home games. (+8.20 Units / 66% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -135
Boston Red Sox Game Total UNDER:
Road games involving the Red Sox have gone under this total six straight times. (+6.00 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ +100
