All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Sunday's top batter prop bets
Taylor Ward | OVER 0.5 HR (+860)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.70 EV
Jonah Heim | OVER 0.5 HR (+810)
Projection: 13% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.67 EV
Kevin McGonigle | OVER 0.5 RBI (+289)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.64 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+128)
Projection: 54% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.91 EV
Enrique Hernandez | UNDER 0.5 H (+132)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.59 EV
Sunday's top pitcher prop bets
Mason Adams | UNDER 3.5 K (+103)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.12 EV
Jeffrey Springs | OVER 4.5 K (+116)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.10 EV
Matthew Liberatore | UNDER 5.5 K (-101)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.51 EV
Andrew Alvarez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-163)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.07 EV
Tyler Glasnow | OVER 1.5 ER (-119)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.20 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Detroit Tigers Game Total Under:
Five straight games at Comerica Field have resulted in the game total going under. (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -115
Atlanta Braves Moneyline:
The Atlanta Braves have a six-game winning streak. (+6.40 Units / 72% ROI). Current odds: -224
Philadelphia Phillies Run Line:
The Phillies have covered their run line in 10 of past 15 games. (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI). Current odds: -1.5 @ -110
St. Louis Cardinals 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
This bet has won in 15 of past 20 Cardinals games. (+9.70 Units / 43% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -145
