All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Saturday's top batter prop bets
Austin Wells | OVER 0.5 HR (+880)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $8.68 EV
CJ Abrams | OVER 0.5 RBI (+258)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.62 EV
Dylan Crews | OVER 0.5 RBI (+275)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.49 EV
Spencer Jones | UNDER 0.5 H (+125)
Projection: 51% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.52 EV
Josh Naylor | UNDER 0.5 H (+194)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.48 EV
Saturday's top pitcher prop bets
Zack Wheeler | UNDER 6.5 K (-106)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.96 EV
George Kirby | OVER 5.5 K (+103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.82 EV
Matthew Liberatore | UNDER 5.5 K (-115)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.80 EV
Framber Valdez | UNDER 2.5 ER (-125)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.64 EV
Jacob deGrom | UNDER 1.5 ER (+111)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.00 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Top Betting Trends
Colorado Rockies Game Total Under:
Seven straight Rockies games at Coors Field have gone under the total. (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 11 @ -119
Tampa Bay Rays Team Total Under:
The Rays have gone under their team total in seven straight road games. (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -125
San Diego Padres Run Line:
The Padres are 8-1-1 covering the run line at home over their last 10 games. (+9.40 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -159
Miami Marlins 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Marlins have covered the first five innings run line in five straight home games. (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 0.5 @ -135
