All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Mike Yastrzemski | OVER 0.5 HR (+1120)
Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $36.27 EV
Bryan Reynolds | OVER 0.5 RBI (+309)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.20 EV
Joshua Baez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+243)
Projection: 35% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.85 EV
Brett Bateman | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-103)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.85 EV
Chandler Simpson | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+100)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.72 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Michael Soroka | UNDER 1.5 ER (+117)
Projection: 75% chance of this bet hitting, with a $63.75 EV
Cristopher Sanchez | UNDER 1.5 ER (+110)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.81 EV
Andre Pallante | OVER 3.5 K (-114)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.57 EV
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | UNDER 7.5 K (-114)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.84 EV
Jacob Misiorowski | OVER 1.5 ER (+131)
Projection: 48% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.70 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Kansas City Royals Game Total UNDER:
Games involving the Royals have gone under this total eight straight times. (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8 @ -115
Toronto Blue Jays Team Total OVER:
The Blue Jays have gone over this total seven straight times at Rogers Centre. (+7.10 Units / 81% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +105
San Diego Padres Moneyline:
San Diego is looking to extend its eight-game winning streak.(+8.00 Units / 58% ROI). Current odds: -202
Pittsburgh Pirates 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
Pittsburgh has gone under this total five consecutive times. (+5.30 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -166
