All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday's top batter prop bets
Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 HR (+400)
Projection: 25% chance of this bet hitting, with a $27.05 EV
Manny Machado | OVER 0.5 RBI (+245)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.68 EV
Ceddanne Rafaela | OVER 0.5 RBI (+250)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.29 EV
Austin Slater | UNDER 0.5 H (+106)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.97 EV
Luis Arraez | UNDER 1.5 TB (-152)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.23 EV
Tuesday's top pitcher prop bets
Payton Tolle | UNDER 5.5 K (+103)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.87 EV
Robert Gasser | OVER 4.5 K (+108)
Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.01 EV
Trevor Rogers | OVER 4.5 K (-135)
Projection: 70% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.52 EV
Colin Rea | UNDER 3.5 K (+110)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.47 EV
Stephen Kolek | UNDER 3.5 K (+121)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.21 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last year's play.
Miami Marlins Game Total UNDER:
Games at LoanDepot Park have gone under this total in six straight contests. (+6.00 Units / 94% ROI). Current odds: 7.5 @ -107
Houston Astros Team Total OVER:
Houston has gone over this total in six consecutive road games. (+6.20 Units / 85% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -105
Milwaukee Brewers Team Total OVER:
The Brewers have gone over this total in five consecutive games. (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI). Current odds: 6.5 @ -110
Kansas City Royals Team Total UNDER:
Kansas City has been under this total in eight of their last 10 home games. (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -135
