With five weeks left in the NFL season, the playoff picture has become a lot clearer. Although there's competition for the lower playoff spots, the favorites have been identified.
The AFC has been dominated by New England and Pittsburgh yet again. The NFC features a big four of quality, well-balanced teams, one from each division. The undercard in the NFC also looks better than the undercard in the AFC. Seven NFC teams are at 7-4 or better, but only four AFC teams are.
Once we get to this point, analyzing postseason chances isn't just about figuring out which teams have the best chance to make it into January. It's also about figuring out which teams have the best chance to make it into February and Super Bowl LII in Minneapolis. We look at all these odds with the Football Outsiders playoff odds simulation, simulating the season 50,000 times using Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. That produces playoff odds and Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams, as listed below. For a full explanation of how we calculate each team's playoff odds, click here.
