All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Monday's top batter prop bets
Nolan Gorman | OVER 0.5 HR (+820)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.12 EV
Mike Trout | OVER 0.5 RBI (+223)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.29 EV
Blaze Alexander | UNDER 0.5 H (+168)
Projection: 42% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.38 EV
JJ Bleday | UNDER 0.5 H (+123)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.05 EV
Monday's top pitcher prop bets
Nick Pivetta | OVER 4.5 K (+101)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $34.11 EV
Chase Burns | UNDER 1.5 ER (-125)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.98 EV
Jesus Luzardo | UNDER 1.5 ER (+127)
Projection: 50% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.70 EV
Trevor Rogers | UNDER 2.5 ER (-145)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.79 EV
Matthew Boyd | UNDER 2.5 ER (-127)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.29 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Detroit Tigers Game Total Under:
Six straight Tigers home games have gone under the total. (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -115
Atlanta Braves 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Under:
The Braves have gone under their first five innings team total in 17 of their last 20 road games. (17-3) (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -125
San Francisco Giants 1st 5 innings (F5) Run Line:
The Giants have covered the first five innings run line in 13 of their last 15. (+11.10 Units / 60% ROI). Current odds: -0.5 @ +100
Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total Over:
The Cubs have gone over their first five innings total in nine of their last 10. (+8.30 Units / 73% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ +124
